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TSLA · NASDAQ · 2026-07-23

Tesla's record deliveries come with a sharp margin warning

Signal21 Editorial Desk ·

Tesla reported 480,126 second-quarter deliveries and $28.2 billion of revenue, both substantially above the previous year. Energy and services also grew, while Robotaxi expanded into additional US cities.

Profitability told a weaker story. Operating income fell 57% to $398 million, operating margin declined to 1.4%, and $5.8 billion of capital expenditure pushed free cash flow to negative $1.1 billion.

The short-term view is Bearish Bias because investment is rising faster than operating profit. Medium term is Neutral Range; long term is Bullish Bias if Robotaxi, energy storage and new capacity produce acceptable returns.

  • Rising operating margin alongside positive free cash flow would improve the medium view.
  • Continued capital-spending growth without operating leverage would weaken the long outlook.

Tesla dashboard: current forecast and all coverage →

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