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Treasury watchlist, NASDAQ

Strategy MSTR

The largest corporate Bitcoin treasury; equity and convertibles financing an accumulation strategy.

  • Short term, next 1–4 weeks: Neutral Range. No directional edge: the model expects range-bound movement over this horizon. Strategy's Q2 was a large fair-value mark on the Bitcoin holding, but the balance sheet kept working: convertible debt was cut to about $6.7 billion and the USD reserve was lifted. With the tape soft and the equity tied to Bitcoin near term, the view stays neutral pending a clearer trend.Generated 2026-08-17T18:08:11Z. This view is outdated.
  • Medium term, next 1–6 months: Bearish Bias. Conditions lean negative: downside scenarios are more likely than upside ones, without dominating. Accretive share issuance remains stalled and accumulation is paused; Bitcoin's slide into the low-$60,000s is the kind of pullback this view expects to be amplified in the equity.Generated 2026-08-06T10:36:00Z. This view is outdated.
  • Long term, next 1–3 years: Strong Bullish. The model sees clearly positive conditions: upside scenarios dominate this horizon. The long-term view continues to mirror the strongly bullish Bitcoin outlook: the largest corporate Bitcoin treasury, financed increasingly with perpetual capital.Generated 2026-08-06T10:36:00Z. This view is outdated.

stale

Outdated forecast: The medium term and long term views were generated up to 32 days ago and may no longer reflect current conditions.

Latest read

Strategy is selling Bitcoin: the arithmetic against the narrative

Strategy's authority to sell Bitcoin was disclosed in SEC filings long before it was news. The sales so far are small, tax-aware and covered by an arithmetic the market rarely does.

MSTR2026-08-09

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Signal historylast 7 publication days

Short term2026-08-25, Short term: Neutral Range.2026-08-28, Short term: Neutral Range.2026-08-31, Short term: Neutral Range.2026-09-02, Short term: Neutral Range.2026-09-03, Short term: Neutral Range.2026-09-05, Short term: Neutral Range.2026-09-07, Short term: Neutral Range.
Medium term2026-08-25, Medium term: Bearish Bias.2026-08-28, Medium term: Bearish Bias.2026-08-31, Medium term: Bearish Bias.2026-09-02, Medium term: Bearish Bias.2026-09-03, Medium term: Bearish Bias.2026-09-05, Medium term: Bearish Bias.2026-09-07, Medium term: Bearish Bias.
Long term2026-08-25, Long term: Strong Bullish.2026-08-28, Long term: Strong Bullish.2026-08-31, Long term: Strong Bullish.2026-09-02, Long term: Strong Bullish.2026-09-03, Long term: Strong Bullish.2026-09-05, Long term: Strong Bullish.2026-09-07, Long term: Strong Bullish.

MSTR 2026-07-29

Strategy's quarter is a mark, not a verdict

  • Strategy reports second-quarter results Thursday, July 30 after the close: one day after the Fed's rate decision.
  • The earnings line moves with Bitcoin's mark; the machine is graded on purchase cadence, Bitcoin per share and the reserve runway.

Read the full article